Kenya

Main findings

2050 projections of power and industrial high temperature heating sectors:

• Projected no-action emissions based on current energy mix: 12.3 MtCO2e /year+

• Maximum mitigation potential: 12.3 MtCO2e /year

• Most important needle-movers are onshore wind, ammonia storage and open-field PV.

• Kenya has an average saving of achieving zero emissions with only domestic measures of USD 28.1/tCO2e (shown as a negative “additional cost”) compared to BAU no action scenario.§ 

• In international collaboration, essential technologies include onshore wind as well as battery and ammonia storage for reducing system costs. Ammonia storage and electricity trade capacity also play a significant role, providing flexibility in meeting energy demands of participating countries and reducing reliance on costlier domestic resources, which can increase savings per ton of CO2e.

+Emissions are the annualized value for a 30-year project starting in 2050 (i.e., divided by 30 from the total project emissions)

§A negative value for cost of achieving net zero with only domestic measures implies that BAU-No Action scenario assuming current energy mix leads to a more expensive system than when investing in zero-carbon power generation for this country. Please see Country-specific notes on Methodology - National and Collaboration Modelling (STEVFNs) section below for detailed information on assumptions leading to this result.